Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Wednesday October 29, 2014: Daily NCAA Football Picks



The following are my algorithmically selected picks based the teams' statistics and the spread, please read my guide to better understand the tables. This season the picks for spreads more than 7.0 points either plus or minus have been pretty inaccurate but the smaller point values have been pretty good.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Picks for 10/31/2014

TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Cincinnati-3.5
Tulane+3.575.00%48%23%

Picks for 11/01/2014

TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Utah State-3.0
Hawai'i+3.075.00%48%23%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Virginia+3.5
Georgia Tech-3.571.43%40%19%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Utah+5.5
Arizona State-5.564.00%24%12%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Georgia State+10.562.50%21%10%
Appalachian State-10.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Auburn+3.0
Mississippi-3.057.14%10%5%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Stanford+7.5
Oregon-7.557.14%10%5%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Northwestern+4.5
Iowa-4.556.67%9%4%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
East Carolina-7.0
Temple+7.055.26%6%3%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
USC-7.0
Washington State+7.055.26%6%3%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Western Kentucky+7.053.33%2%1%
Louisiana Tech-7.0
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Rice-6.052.83%1%0%
Florida International+6.0
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKellyBetter's Edge
Washington-3.552.78%1%0%
Colorado+3.5

2 comments:

  1. It would be nice if you posted which bets you won or either which teams won. Very interesting stuff though!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks!

    I usually post how I have done on my day of game picks on the site which my algorithm suggests I should bet on like last week, I haven't done it for this week yet though, but I'm only around 50% on my picks for this year.

    Good suggestion though, I'll add that feature for all the picks. You can also take a look at my stats page for all the winners.

    ReplyDelete