Saturday, September 27, 2014

Saturday Sept 27: Picks for NCAA Football Week 5

Picks for 09/27/2014


My algorithm adjusted for the spread increase of the UNLV vs San Diego State game from UNLV -17.5 to -18.5 and thought that was too high, so the Maryland Indiana game moved to the top spot. On the top pretty much every other game stayed the same. 

TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Maryland+3.5
Indiana-3.571.43%40%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Iowa-8.5
Purdue+8.571.43%40%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Missouri+5.5
South Carolina-5.564.00%24%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Tennessee+17.560.47%17%
Georgia-17.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Boise State-12.559.09%14%
Air Force+12.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Texas State+2.5
Tulsa-2.557.14%10%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Oregon State+8.0
USC-8.057.14%10%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Akron+20.5
Pittsburgh-20.556.25%8%
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
UNLV+18.555.56%7%
San Diego State-18.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Tulane+12.552.94%1%
Rutgers-12.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Bowling Green-5.552.83%1%
Massachusetts+5.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
South Alabama-4.052.78%1%
Idaho+4.0
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Central Michigan+13.552.53%0%
Toledo-13.5
TeamSpreadProb WinnerKelly
Washington State+13.552.53%0%
Utah-13.5

No comments:

Post a Comment